Careful! The dawgs are barking this weekend in MLS Soccer

Boy, if you’re up for it and your stomach can handle such things (suppose it can unless you wouldn’t be here), there are some big payouts to be had this weekend. Time to cash out and get back after a two-week slump…

Friday

LA vs. Colorado

We are trying to find a reason to back the visitors in this one at very generous odds, but this team can’t find any answers despite playing hard. Tonight is desparate game for the Rapids and makes them dangerous. A point from this one would do the team just fine and maybe right a ship that is sinking fast into September. A few week’s ago, this team not once, but twice, allowed the Galaxy to come back and win while at home. The Galaxy sit in second place in the Western Conference while the Rapids currently on a 6-game slide matching their club records set in 1997 and 2012 are in seventh place. They take on Portland at home next week and RSL in Rio Tinto the following week. Without at least a point, the Rapids probably can call it a season. This is a trap game in our opinion so be cautious backing the home side. We’re going to take Colorado getting the 1 1/2 ball on the AH and the draw just for fun.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Saturday

Toronto vs. Philadelphia

Three days after losing, 1-0, to the Union at PPL Park, Toronto FC hosts a return match Saturday at BMO. Both teams have 33 points, as does Columbus, and are locked in a three-way tie for fourth place. Toronto holds the first tiebreaker, most victories, and also has played one fewer game. All the drama in Toronto is catching up to a team spiraling down. The defense is in bad shape for TFC with suspensions and injuries and without a big game from Michael Bradley in the middle, it could get ugly – although Maurice Edu from the Union has his number. We got burned on the over/under midweek, so it’s payback time. We’ll back the total as the best play at plus money.

Prediction: 3-1 road win. TFC is a mess

New York vs. Sporting Kansas City

There’s not much chance that the defending champion can miss the playoffs, but three straight losses — during which Sporting Kansas City has been outscored, 9-2 — clouds its visit to Red Bull Arena Saturday. SKC Coach Peter Vermes opted to rest Aurelien Collin and pair up Lawrence Olum and Matt Besler in the middle against New England on Wednesday. Despite jumping on top in the ninth minute on a goal by Soony Saad, SKC couldn’t control midfield. The Revs equalized on a long ball out of the back and hit the winner off a counterattack after SKC lost a ball in midfield. The squad is strengthened by the return of assist leader Benny Feilhaber and top scorer Dom Dwyer from suspension. SKC is the only team in the league without a tie on the road; it has won seven and lost six. Its last three trips to RBA have yielded two wins, one tie, and it hasn’t conceded a goal there in 338 consecutive minutes. SKC will be a different team and as long as Bradley Wright-Phillips is marked tightly, could be a bad night for Red Bull fans with a big bounce back, playoff push from Sporting Kansas City. Big time payout on the prop if you have the nads for it – SKC clean sheet.

Prediction: 2-0 SKC

Houston vs. Montreal

Montreal plays really strong in Texas but lifetime has never won at BBVA and only has 1 tie. Predicting late-game heroics in this one and a low-scoring affair as both teams have a lot at stake. We’re going to back the Dynamo at home in a nail-biter. They need this one big time.

Prediction: 1-0 Dynamo

Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas

Separated by just one point in the standings, Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas meet at Rio Tinto Stadium in a game with considerable implications in the quest to avoid a wild-card playoff. The fourth-place finisher hosts the play-in game. FCD can climb out of that slot and over RSL by winning. This won’t be a typical regular season game, but more like a slugfest. Both are physical teams, so expect some bookings and maybe even a send off. Lowscoring affair with two hard-pressing teams and strong midfield play. And, yes, Nick Rimando is playing.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw. Under is the best play.

Vancouver vs. DC United

Trap. Trap. Trap. Not sure who will be in the line-up for Ben Olsen in this one with a big game again against the Red Bulls the following week. We’ll back home team on the AH, but that’s about it. Vancouver is the king of draws, but might just a win here with a B-squad United.

Prediction: 2-1 Vancouver

Sunday

We’ll post Sunday’s predictions and plays Saturday night. Enjoy the games. Should be some good ones this week as the season starts to wind down. Tell your friends where you got the deeets!

GL!

Mid-Week MLS Soccer is make-or-break for some teams

There are some intriquing matches tonight for MLS Soccer Wednesday. Jemaine Jones expected to make his home debut tonight in New England, Greg Vanney’s first game in charge of Toronto, and some crucial conference matchups with playoff implications on the line.

After our thumping last week (let’s be honest, we’ve been pretty hot this season, so one let down week is to be expected), here are predictions for tonight’s matches…

New England vs. SKC

First of all, Sporting Kansas City, which has lost three of the last four and will be missing Dom Dwyer and Benny Feilhaber due to yellow card accumulations, have looked simply dreadful dropping two home losses in a row. This is also the first of three straight Gillette games for the Revs, who have allowed a league-low 10 goals in 12 home matches. The power play on this one is under 2.5 goals and we think Peter Vermes (even missing key personnel in this one on the road) ripped his team a new one earlier this week and have them sharpened up and ready to go. Love a draw in this one.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Philadelphia vs. Toronto

A quirk in scheduling, both games between Philadelphia and Toronto this season will be played this week. The Union hosts the first encounter at PPL Park, and the return leg is Saturday. By then, one team could greatly clarify its playoff fortunes by sweeping the two games; TFC (9-9-6, 33 points) is tied for third, just three points head of Philly (7-9-9) in seventh place. Toronto has undergone a coaching change (as has Philly this season back in June), and one hopes the team doesn’t come out flat as they have in the past couple games. We’ll back the home team in this one with the AH, but a draw wouldn’t be shocking. Expect goals in this one.

Prediction: 3-2 Union (but it will be close to the end)

Chivas USA vs. Seattle

The two teams at either end of the Western Conference square off at StubHub Center tonight, where Seattle comes to town bearing twice as many points as last-place Chivas USA. Chivas USA lost at home to the Sounders, 2-1, on April 19 and has lost six straight matches. Chivas also won’t have Erick Torres, who was called up by Mexico for a pair of friendlies this week and picked up a red card last weekend verses the Galaxy. For the Sounders, Marco Pappa is with Guatemala’s national team this week, but otherwise the they should be at full strength. And, their next match is nine days from now, when they host Real Salt Lake. With all this knowledge, how could not take Seattle to just destroy this bottom-barrel team on they home turf. However, experience tells us that if it’s too good to be true, it probably is (Vegas has them a meager -179 money line at this writing, which should throw a red flag). We’re going to be very contrite in this one as we don’t expect the Sounders to push that hard. Even so, we can find a single reason to knock back the visitors in this one; they’ll still get a win a very boring game. Under really is the play here, though.

Prediction: 2-0 Sounders in a snoozefest

MLS enters the final two months of its regular season

Only Philadelphia, which thumped San Jose 4-2, on Wednesday, takes a break as eight of nine games involve intraconference foes, which will be the case most of the time until the season ends Oct. 26.

FRIDAY NIGHT FUTBALL

SKC hosts Houston in what we think will be a huge bounce back game for Sporting Kansas City. After being dismantled by Eastern Conference foe DC United on home turf last week, this is a game SKC needs to have heading into the final weeks of the season and the playoff push. Play this one large. Sorry Dynamo fans, could get ugly real quick. Prop bet … Zusi or Dwyer to score tonight and may even be a clean sheet for the home team.

Prediction: 3-0 Sporting Kansas City

SATURDAY, AUG. 30

Toronto hosts the Revs in a big conference match-up. This one actually could go either way. With lots of talent on the field for both teams (Defoe/Bradley – Nyugen/Jemaine Jones?), this should be an entertaining match. Both teams are 2-3-1 in their last six games and both have conceded 36 goals, figures with which neither head coach is pleased about. Jones can shore up the Revs’ resilience if he gets the opportunity. Third-place TFC is just three points in front of sixth-place New England, which pulled off a 2-1 victory in its last visit to BMO Field on May 3. At first we were going to back the draw, but we think Toronto has the onions to protect their home turf. We’ll back TFC on the AH in this one, it’ll be a tough match. Over 2.5 goals also has promise here.

Prediction 2-1 Toronto

Rapids vs. Sounders could be interesting a trap game for bettors. Seattle has had glimpses on greatness in recent weeks and Colorado is probably pissed they blew a 2-goal lead against the Galaxy nine days ago (not once but twice). Losers of five straight, the Rapids have dropped out of the playoff tier and trail the fifth-place Whitecaps by three points. The last two meetings, both of which have also been played at CenturyLink Field, have been won by Seattle, 4-1, and 2-0. However, this is a dangerous game to play with a Rapids’ team that has nothing to lose now. Seattle may be a little complacent, but expect some golazos in this one.

Prediction: 2-2 Draw – over 2.5 goals is great play in this one.

FC Dallas and Chicago also should provide fireworks. No Perez, red card last week, for FC Dallas. This is a physical and almost dirty team to watch play. Chicago will have to man up against these guys, so we’ll see how it all plays out at the final whistle. We’ll back the home team on the AH, but stay away from the over. Under is a top play this week for this game as it will be physical and the Fire have a top-notch goalkeeper.

Prediction: 1-0 Fire

RSL and San Jose is a no-brainer. Sometimes we overthink things and this one is just too easy; which can be scary. The Quakes are just bad. Wondo has no help and poaches a few goals here and there to keep them in the conversation. RSL is surging to find form for the playoffs and we’ll back them at plus money on the road against a subpar San Jose team. Over might be an option for this game as well – Rimando will give up at least one to Wondo in some sort of squabble in the box.

Prediction: 2-1 RSL road dog winner

Portland on the road? Yup, at Vancouver. We’ll back them all day on the road – they are better for some reason. Although, Vancouver is the king of draws at home. We’ll take the Timbers plus the 1/2 ball on the road at still plus money. Safety first!

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

SUNDAY, AUG. 31

Big Eastern Conference game – Red Bulls at DC United. This is always a tough one. We’ll back draw in this one with lots of fouls and cards. We’ll set the over/under on bookings at 5 if anyone wants side action. DC was embarrased at LA midweek and is licking their chops a bit; but they probably we’re looking ahead to this one instead of the out of conference trek to StubHub. United’s 8-2-3 home record is third-best in MLS and the Red Bulls’ tend to struggle on the road. The two will play again on Sept. 10 so don’t expect all the drama and fireworks just yet; just enough to tease for the last one next month.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw. Late goals expected. Prop bet: nil to nil at halftime.

SuperClassico LA vs. Chivas ends the week. Boring …. skipping it. We never have much luck when these two play.

MLS Soccer Saturday for August 23, 2014

Here’s a breakdown of our winning picks today. Enjoy.

Sporting KC gets the home win today against DC to stay atop the Eastern Conference and the chase for the Supporter’s Shield. Prediction: 2-1 SKC.

New York Red Bulls are in a must-win situation at home and must find a win here against Montreal. Our best play of the day here. Expect goals in this one. Prediction: 3-1 Red Bulls.

Columbus and Houston will battle it out to a draw today. Prediction: 1-1 Draw.

Chivas USA is our upset pick today against the struggling Revs. Prediction 2-1 Chivas USA.

LA and Vancouver is always a tight match. Might be worth taking LA on the AH but we’re calling draw in this one. Expect a lot of goals in this one. Prediction: 2-2 Draw – nail-biter with a late stoppage time goal in the cards.

Sunday…

Timbers and Seattle battle in another Cascadia Cup Clash. Timbers ironically haven’t been too good at home, but this rivalry game always brings out the best. We’re laying on the money line and playing over 2.5 goals in this one. Prediction: 2-2 Draw.

Finally, Philly and San Jose take the pitch to round out the weekend. We can’t make heads or tails of the Quakes this year, but we do expect some goals in this one. We’ll lean with the visitors to get the road win on the West Coast this go around to stay in the mix. Prediction: 2-1 Union, but over is the play for bettors in this one.

Cheers! Go Large!

MLS Soccer Saturday – Week 23 and playoff races heat up

Let’s just get to it shall we …

Chicago at Montreal

Intriquing match-up this one. The visiting team has never one a game in these between the two clubs. Let’s face it, though, Montreal is just bad this year. Look for them to play hard and salvage some pride in this one – playoffs are pretty much non-existent at this point. Chicago will play to win this one, but will be happy with leaving Canada with a point. Under 2.5 goals is the best play on this match.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

LA Galaxy at Columbus

Home dog? What? We’re all over it. LA’s weaknesses were exploited last week by San Jose and good coaches do their homework. We’ll back the Crew for the “upset” this week at home at positive money.

Prediction: 2-1 Columbus
*Expect a late goal to blow the draw many of you probably will take :)

Portland at New England

Timbers on the road – we’ll take it all day. They seem to play better on the road; even across country.
Risk play: Timber to win. Value play: Draw.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Toronto vs. Sporting Kansas City

If we were betting folks (oops, we are), we would lay it down big on the over in this one. Both teams have too many weapons not to have the scoreboard light up. We’ll back the home team to win this one, but the better play is over at very very generous odds.

Prediction: 3-2 SKC

FC Dallas at San Jose

FC Dallas suffered a crushing lost in OT this week in the US Open Cup again Philly and now has to travel to a surging goonie squad in Silicon Valley. We’ll back the home team in this one.

Prediction: 3-1 Quakes

Sunday

Colorado at DC United

Having allowed seven goals in their last three games, the Colorado Rapids could certainly use center back Shane O’Neill’s services. But it doesn’t appear the 20-year-old will be back in action – at least not anytime soon. However, this might make one just jump all over – pun intended – on the over in this match. Hold your horses, cowboy. DC is playing some good ball and has one of the best keepers in the league with a defense that has gelled this season and playing pretty superb. We’ll back DC to get a win and stay in the mix with a clean sheet. Avoid thinking lots of goals in this one — won’t happen.

Prediction: 2-0 DC United

Houston Dynamo will regain form on MLS Friday Night Futball

We have a busy busy schedule of MLS Soccer this week starting with a great match-up on Friday night in Houston where the Philadelphia Union head to Texas for this Eastern Conference showdown.

Don’t over think this one; it’s a no brainer. Houston has struggled this season, but boy are they tough at home and desperate for win with some new key personnel now in place too. If you’re feeling gutsy, maybe even throwdown on a prop for a clean sheet in this one at very generous odds.

Vegas wiffed on this one. Jump on the generous money line quick before it skyrockets! Let us know what you think?

Prediction: 2-0 Houston.

Other predictions will be up on Saturday morning. For now, here’s the schedule for this week’s action.

Go big! Go Large!

MLS WEEK 23 Schedule

Friday, August 15
9 pm ET Houston vs. Philadelphia, NBCSN

Saturday, August 16
2:30 pm ET Real Salt Lake vs. Seattle, NBCSN
6:30 pm ET Montreal vs. Chicago
7:30 pm ET Columbus vs. LA Galaxy
8:30 pm ET New England vs. Portland
10:30 pm ET Sporting KC vs. Toronto FC
10:30 pm ET Chivas USA vs. Vancouver
10:30 pm ET San Jose vs. FC Dallas

Sunday, August 17
8 pm ET D.C. United vs. Colorado, UDN

MLS Soccer kicks off first weekend of August

The MLS soccer weekend schedule, which again includes a Friday night special (Philadelphia-Sporting Kansas City) and several classics, is rife with important intraconference matches. Saturday play begins in the morning at StubHub Center with the LA Galaxy-Timbers game on NBC and ends in the evening with the San Jose-Seattle match that opens Levi’s Stadium, the NFL 49ers’ new stadium.

So, let’s break down the games for this weekend and win some cash, shall we …

Philadelphia vs. Sporting Kansas City

All points lead for the home team to cover in this one, but oddsmakers aren’t showing SKC too much love with a pretty meager money line. SKC Manager Peter Vermes will be without potential centerback replacement Lawrence Olum due to international duty, while left back Seth Sinovic is questionable with a groin strain. The roster rotation could see opportunities for the MLS debuts of Jorge Claros, a member of the Honduras Men’s National Team at the 2014 FIFA World Cup, and Philippine international Martin Steuble. The Union seem to play well in Kansas City for some reason and will desperate to grab at least a point to stay in the mix in the eastern conference. We’re going to lean with the draw in this one. And, although SKC games have gone over in the last five games, we’re not buying it on this one as this will be a pretty conservative match tonight.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Portland vs. LA Galaxy

A bright and early start for the west coast Saturday at the StubHub Center. There is going to be over-reaction big time from the Galaxy’s dismantling of the Sounders on Monday night and there will be tons of public action on them to grab a home win. Portland is a much better team on the road than at home for some weird reason. This is a tough one to call but Portland needs points to move the up the table to have a shot at post-season play and we they’ll get a least one during this outing.

Prediction: 2-2 Draw. Best play is the over in this one.

Toronto vs. Montreal

No question whatsoever in this one, take the heavy road dogs in this one and play it big.

Prediction: 3-1 Toronto

New England vs. New York

The Revs revived their season this week (which we called it) by beating Colorado badly at home on Wednesday. That was a big payday for us, hope you knocked it out as well. New York’s draw with RSL also paid out nicely on Wednesday, but honestly, this team has little to no identity. It’s tough to gauge what team will take the field week to week. Only thing is they are at home and Red Bull arena is a tough place to play for road teams. We’ll lean to the home team in this one but only playing the AH giving up the 3/4 ball.

Prediction: 2-1 New York

Columbus vs. Chicago

Passing on this one. Too tough to call.

Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado

Rapids bounce back at home at generous home team odds. Snag it up quick.

Prediction: 1-0 Colorado

Seattle vs. San Jose

Shameful Sounder performance and now being on the road has affected this line big time. Even with all the goal scorers on the field, there won’t be too many on the scoreboard. This game is at the new 49rs stadium so a pseudo-home game for San Jose. Expect a tight game.

Prediction:  1-1 Draw

As for Sunday’s matches, we’ll post those Sunday morning.

Have a great and lucky weekend. Go Big!

MLS Soccer Wednesday – Big games for bubble teams

Let’s cut to the chase …

DC United vs. Toronto FC

DC United hosts Toronto FC in our first match of the evening. This is the third regular-season meeting between the two squads. A Jermain Defoe goal decided the first one at BMO Field March 22 in favor of TFC, 1-0, which marked the first time since it joined MLS in 2007 it  had won its first two games of the season. United then went on a 7-3-4 run before running into TFC again at BMO Field July 5, and this time D.C. prevailed, 2-1. D.C. United picked up 23-year-old defender Kofi Opare this week and the LA Galaxy’s second-round pick in the 2015 MLS SuperDraft in an exchange of allocation swaps that moved the Galaxy up to the No. 3 spot behind Columbus and FC Dallas. Interested in seeing if he gets the nod tonight or not.

First of all this game will not be a draw. We like the road dog to get three points in this one and love the over 2.5 goals. DC has been in good form, but they tend to fall flat in games with meaning. Toronto FC has struggled of late, but this is turn-around game for a very talented team.

Prediction: 2-1 Toronto FC

New England vs. Colorado

New England then hosts Colorado. This is a must-win for the Revs, no question about it. Yes, they have looked awful and might be one of the worst teams in all of MLS this year, but we love to back desperate teams with home underdog odds. The sportsbooks have wiffed big time in this one, so jumped on it.

Prediction: 1-0 New England

Chicago vs. Vancouver

The easiest win of the night is Chicago at home against Vancouver. Call for a big play on this one with good odds and possibly even a clean sheet. The Chicago Fire and Montreal Impact exchanged midfielders this week, and the Fire acquired Gambian Sanna Nyassi for Dilly Duka. Biggest play of the night — go big on this one.

Prediction: 2-0 Chicago

New York vs. Real Salt Lake

The last game should be a good one between New York and Real Salt Lake. New York’s road record of 2-4-5 doesn’t inspire much confidence, but so far in 2014 it has been very much a hit-or-miss team. It holds just a slim one-point lead for the final playoff spot over New England, which has lost eight straight games. Hard to call on this one, but we’ll put a little on the draw for good measure.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

That’ll do it. Lots of confident winners tonight.

Have fun and Go Big!

Galaxy head to Seatle in MLS Monday Night Futball classico

Simple gang … back the home side in this one at good odds.

Don’t fall for the draw. A prime time Monday night game will produce goals and a winner.

Prediction: 2-1 Seattle Sounders

PS,
Caught some flack for not posting Saturday/Sunday. Sorry. Future note, if no predictions posted, probably not a good idea to play. Three road dogs won and a unpredicted draw highlighted the weekend, so we backed off until tonight.

Go Sounders! Go Big!

Chivas is a dangerous foe right now – MLS Soccer Friday Night

The headline speaks for it’s itself.

After crushing both mid-week games with 3 unit payouts, back to business this Friday night with an intriguing match-up between Chivas USA and Colorado Rapids.

Oddsmakers have moved the line in favor of the home side with a pretty significant money line to swallow to back them. We feel this is a trap game as sportsbooks are looking to get back what they’ve lost the last couple days.

Chivas is desperate team and makes them a dangerous team in MLS Soccer.

We’re leaning to the draw in this one for big value with very generous odds. Expect some goals as well.

Prediction: 2-2 Draw

Some great games set for the weekend. Check back Saturday afternoon for our weekend picks.

Go Big!

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